NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
24-15-5 | Road
4
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
26-11-8 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.94 | 0.917 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.93 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.94 Ldr
GAA
3.93
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
WILD
0%
ISLANDERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
NYI @ MIN
4 - 3
Nov 7, 2025
MIN @ NYI
5 - 2
Apr 4, 2025
MIN @ NYI
1 - 3
Feb 8, 2025
NYI @ MIN
3 - 6
Jan 15, 2024
NYI @ MIN
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.6% more
Minnesota: 31.6
vs
New York: 26.2
Takeaways (L5)
+12.6% more
Minnesota: 5.3
vs
New York: 4.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.1%
Minnesota: 11.8%
vs
New York: 4.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.8% more
New York: 17.2
vs
Minnesota: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.0
4
MIN Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 17.2
14.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
45.2 / 47.3
41.9 / 58.1
Hits
17.6 / 18.9
18.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
11.8 / 4.7
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.6 / 26.2
36.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.7
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
NYI
MIN
NYI
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0-1
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