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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

21-20-3  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

23-15-4  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 4.08 0.871 --
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 3.00 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.08 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.871 Save % Ldr 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
📊
SABRES
0%
DUCKS --
SABRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 SabresBUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

30.9%

Sabres Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

ANA By 1 goal

12.1%

ANA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BUF By 1 goal

19.7%

BUF By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ANAHEIM
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
3
ANAHEIM
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sabres Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sabres (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Sabres (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 BUF @ ANA 5 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 ANA @ BUF 3 - 5
Feb 25, 2025 ANA @ BUF 2 - 3
Nov 22, 2024 BUF @ ANA 3 - 2
Feb 19, 2024 ANA @ BUF 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +35.5% more
Buffalo: 6.0 vs Anaheim: 4.4
Faceoff % (L5) +4.0%
Buffalo: 47.2% vs Anaheim: 43.2%
Hits (L5) +15.1% more
Anaheim: 20.0 vs Buffalo: 17.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.0 3
BUF Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.7 / 15.5 22.0 / 7.0
Faceoff % 47.2 / 43.2 46.3 / 53.7
Hits 17.0 / 20.0 10.0 / 29.0
Power Play % 1744.0 / 1735.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.3 / 24.7 32.0 / 34.0
Takeaways 6.0 / 4.4 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
73%MONEY27%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
ANA
BUF
ANA
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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