CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
18-22-4 | Road
2
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
21-12-9 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Devin Cooley
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 2.07 | 0.920 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.07
0.964 Ldr
Save %
0.920
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
PENGUINS
0%
FLAMES
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
PIT @ CGY
4 - 1
Jan 10, 2026
CGY @ PIT
2 - 1
Nov 30, 2024
CGY @ PIT
2 - 6
Oct 22, 2024
PIT @ CGY
3 - 4
Mar 2, 2024
PIT @ CGY
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+22.6%
Pittsburgh: 28.6%
vs
Calgary: 6.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.7% more
Pittsburgh: 32.5
vs
Calgary: 29.6
Hits (L5)
+39.6% more
Calgary: 24.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.5
Takeaways (L5)
+10.1% more
Calgary: 6.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.0
2
PIT Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 15.0
17.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 49.0
56.4 / 43.6
Hits
14.5 / 24.1
15.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
2858.0 / 597.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.5 / 29.6
28.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 6.2
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CGY
PIT
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
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