DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
26-15-4 | Road
4
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
25-13-6 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 3.18 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
3.18
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.870
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
CANADIENS
0%
RED WINGS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MTL By 1 goal
19.7%
MTL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MTL @ DET
1 - 3
Jan 10, 2026
DET @ MTL
4 - 0
Oct 9, 2025
MTL @ DET
5 - 1
Apr 8, 2025
DET @ MTL
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
MTL @ DET
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.5% more
Montreal: 21.7
vs
Detroit: 15.3
Takeaways (L5)
+27.8% more
Montreal: 5.2
vs
Detroit: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.7% more
Montreal: 26.3
vs
Detroit: 22.2
Power Play % (L5)
+19.7%
Detroit: 24.6%
vs
Montreal: 4.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
4
MTL Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 17.8
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
46.8 / 47.3
42.3 / 57.7
Hits
21.7 / 15.3
27.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
4.9 / 24.6
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 22.2
27.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.1
9.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
DET
MTL
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…