TENNESSEE TECH
GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC
6-10 | Road
59
WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-12 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
LEATHERNECKS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
LEATHERNECKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Western Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIU)
TNTC By 1-7 points
9.3%
TNTC By 8-14 points
2.7%
WIU By 1-7 points
21.6%
WIU By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee Tech
76
TENNESSEE TECH
Western Illinois
87
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Tennessee Tech
70
TENNESSEE TECH
Western Illinois
73
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leathernecks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leathernecks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leathernecks (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Leathernecks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
WIU @ TNTC
72 - 97
Jan 10, 2026
TNTC @ WIU
59 - 54
Feb 27, 2025
WIU @ TNTC
82 - 69
Dec 17, 2024
TNTC @ WIU
68 - 71
Feb 15, 2024
WIU @ TNTC
62 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.2% more
Western Illinois: 6.4
vs
Tennessee Tech: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+42.8% more
Tennessee Tech: 12.7
vs
Western Illinois: 7.3
Blocks (L5)
+29.7% more
Tennessee Tech: 2.6
vs
Western Illinois: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+12.1% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.8
vs
Western Illinois: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score
76.0
59
WIU Score
87.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
19.7 / 31.2
40.0 / 25.0
Assists
7.3 / 12.7
5.0 / 3.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.6
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
37.3 / 40.8
42.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 81.2
55.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 35.0
35.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.0
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 14.8
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIU
TNTC
WIU
TNTC
ML
45%
14-17
50%
15-15
61%
19-12
65%
15-8
ATS
52%
16-15
50%
15-15
61%
19-12
65%
15-8
TTL
45%
14-17
57%
17-13
100%
31-0
100%
23-0
