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NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

6-11  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 4:00 PM ET
Memorial Hall (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

5-11  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
HORNETS
0%
SPARTANS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Delaware State)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 HornetsDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

13.6%

Hornets Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DSU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)

NORF By 1-7 points

9.3%

NORF By 8-14 points

2.7%

DSU By 1-7 points

21.6%

DSU By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
56
NORFOLK STATE
67
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
73
NORFOLK STATE
68
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hornets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hornets (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Spartans (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 DSU @ NORF 58 - 75
Jan 10, 2026 NORF @ DSU 66 - 64
Feb 17, 2025 DSU @ NORF 84 - 96
Jan 6, 2025 NORF @ DSU 73 - 64
Mar 2, 2024 NORF @ DSU 71 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +77.8% more
Delaware State: 9.8 vs Norfolk State: 5.5
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Delaware State: 14.5 vs Norfolk State: 12.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Delaware State: 36.4% vs Norfolk State: 34.3%
Blocks (L5) +46.7% more
Norfolk State: 4.0 vs Delaware State: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 56.0 66
DSU Score 67.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 34.3 23.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.0 / 11.4 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.0 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 40.1 46.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 57.5 / 67.5 82.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 35.2 27.0 / 23.0
Steals 9.8 / 5.5 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 12.5 19.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
NORF
DSU
NORF
ML
60% 18-12
67% 20-10
75% 18-6
71% 20-8
ATS
60% 18-12
63% 19-11
72% 18-7
72% 21-8
TTL
57% 17-13
60% 18-12
100% 25-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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