OKLAHOMA STATE
COWBOYSOKST
13-2 | Road
71
IOWA STATE
CYCLONESISU
15-0 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
CYCLONES
0%
COWBOYS
--
CYCLONES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Iowa State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)
OKST By 1-7 points
0.8%
OKST By 8-14 points
0.1%
ISU By 1-7 points
4.8%
ISU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma State
63
OKLAHOMA STATE
Iowa State
86
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
Oklahoma State
68
OKLAHOMA STATE
Iowa State
72
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cyclones
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cyclones
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cyclones (-18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Cyclones (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
ISU @ OKST
84 - 71
Jan 10, 2026
OKST @ ISU
71 - 83
Feb 25, 2025
ISU @ OKST
68 - 74
Jan 13, 2024
OKST @ ISU
42 - 66
Feb 11, 2023
OKST @ ISU
64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.8% more
Iowa State: 4.2
vs
Oklahoma State: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+39.1% more
Iowa State: 18.6
vs
Oklahoma State: 13.3
Steals (L5)
+14.5% more
Iowa State: 7.4
vs
Oklahoma State: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.2%
Oklahoma State: 75.6%
vs
Iowa State: 62.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKST Score
63.0
71
ISU Score
86.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 41.0
31.0 / 36.0
Assists
18.6 / 13.3
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 47.3
47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
62.4 / 75.6
80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 38.0
36.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.5
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.4
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
ISU
Advantage
29-8-0
(78.4%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
ISU
Advantage
22-14-1
(61.1%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
OKST
ISU
OKST
ML
57%
21-16
60%
21-14
76%
26-8
66%
21-11
ATS
62%
23-14
57%
20-15
76%
26-8
66%
21-11
TTL
54%
20-17
57%
20-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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