Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolves @ Dolphins WGA @ JAX

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

9-6  |  Road

43
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 3:00 PM ET
Swisher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

5-11  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
0%
📊
DOLPHINS
100%
WOLVES --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WolvesWGA (-3.5) 0 DolphinsJAX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolves Cover

34.5%

Dolphins Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JAX +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)

WGA By 1-7 points

27.4%

WGA By 8-14 points

21.6%

JAX By 1-7 points

20.1%

JAX By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
WEST GEORGIA
67
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
72
WEST GEORGIA
78
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dolphins (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Dolphins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 JAX @ WGA 73 - 87
Jan 10, 2026 WGA @ JAX 43 - 75
Jan 23, 2025 JAX @ WGA 79 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +22.7%
West Georgia: 81.4% vs Jacksonville: 58.7%
Assists (L5) +11.8% more
West Georgia: 12.0 vs Jacksonville: 10.6
Blocks (L5) +9.1% more
West Georgia: 4.5 vs Jacksonville: 4.1
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
West Georgia: 45.9% vs Jacksonville: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WGA Score 71.0 43
JAX Score 67.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 33.5 60.0 / 9.0
Assists 10.6 / 12.0 12.0 / 4.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.5 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 45.9 54.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 58.7 / 81.4 80.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 36.9 24.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.3 / 6.7 10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 10.0 5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
WGA
JAX
WGA
ML
74% 23-8
58% 18-13
60% 18-12
61% 19-12
ATS
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
61% 19-12
TTL
65% 20-11
55% 17-14
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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