Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Gamecocks UGA @ SC

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

13-2  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 2:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

10-5  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
BULLDOGS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (South Carolina)
BulldogsUGA (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

27.4%

Gamecocks Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

UGA By 1-7 points

16.9%

UGA By 8-14 points

6.8%

SC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SC By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
88
GEORGIA
94
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
71
GEORGIA
76
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o164.5 Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 SC @ UGA 68 - 87
Jan 10, 2026 UGA @ SC 75 - 70
Mar 4, 2025 UGA @ SC 73 - 64
Jan 28, 2025 SC @ UGA 60 - 71
Feb 3, 2024 SC @ UGA 72 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.8% more
South Carolina: 15.7 vs Georgia: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +11.4%
South Carolina: 81.1% vs Georgia: 69.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.7%
South Carolina: 38.8% vs Georgia: 31.2%
Blocks (L5) +71.3% more
Georgia: 7.5 vs South Carolina: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UGA Score 88.0 75
SC Score 94.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.8 / 31.2 29.0 / 22.0
Assists 15.7 / 11.6 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.2 / 7.5 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 47.2 41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 69.8 71.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 38.9 35.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.6 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.9 / 10.8 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA Advantage
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
UGA
SC
UGA
ML
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
ATS
69% 22-10
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
TTL
50% 16-16
64% 21-12
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 0 minutes ago
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 0 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 2 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 57 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 6 hours, 4 minutes ago