TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERSTTU
11-4 | Road
73
COLORADO
BUFFALOESCOLO
12-3 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
BUFFALOES
0%
RED RAIDERS
--
BUFFALOES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)
TTU By 1-7 points
0.6%
TTU By 8-14 points
0.1%
COLO By 1-7 points
4.0%
COLO By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas Tech
59
TEXAS TECH
Colorado
83
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Texas Tech
71
TEXAS TECH
Colorado
77
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buffaloes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buffaloes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buffaloes (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Buffaloes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
COLO @ TTU
44 - 78
Jan 10, 2026
TTU @ COLO
73 - 71
Mar 5, 2025
COLO @ TTU
75 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
Colorado: 6.7
vs
Texas Tech: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
Colorado: 4.4
vs
Texas Tech: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Colorado: 85.9%
vs
Texas Tech: 79.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Texas Tech: 37.7%
vs
Colorado: 31.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TTU Score
59.0
73
COLO Score
83.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 37.7
29.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.8 / 15.3
14.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.8
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 47.3
40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
85.9 / 79.8
86.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 37.5
36.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.2
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 10.9
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
TTU
COLO
TTU
ML
61%
20-13
62%
21-13
69%
22-10
71%
22-9
ATS
73%
24-9
65%
22-12
69%
22-10
71%
22-9
TTL
45%
15-18
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
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