Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Eagles LIP @ FGCU

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

9-7  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 4:00 PM ET
Alico Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

7-9  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BISONS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 EaglesFGCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

0.2%

Eagles Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FGCU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)

LIP By 1-7 points

0.1%

LIP By 8-14 points

0.0%

FGCU By 1-7 points

1.4%

FGCU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
50
LIPSCOMB
79
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
70
LIPSCOMB
75
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-3) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.0 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u158.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 FGCU @ LIP 77 - 53
Jan 23, 2026 FGCU @ LIP 71 - 86
Jan 10, 2026 LIP @ FGCU 84 - 77
Feb 15, 2025 FGCU @ LIP 68 - 82
Jan 25, 2024 LIP @ FGCU 98 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +78.1% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.4 vs Lipscomb: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +28.2% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 13.3 vs Lipscomb: 10.4
Steals (L5) +8.7% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 6.6 vs Lipscomb: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 50.0 84
FGCU Score 79.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 35.3 29.0 / 52.0
Assists 16.2 / 17.4 16.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.9 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 47.6 51.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 72.8 63.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 36.0 29.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.1 12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 10.4 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
FGCU
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
LIP
FGCU
LIP
ML
58% 19-14
71% 22-9
67% 22-11
66% 19-10
ATS
61% 20-13
71% 22-9
67% 22-11
66% 19-10
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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