TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
11-4 | Road
67
FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
10-5 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
VOLUNTEERS
0%
GATORS
100%
VOLUNTEERS
--
GATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TENN -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
TENN By 1-7 points
1.4%
TENN By 8-14 points
5.8%
FLA By 1-7 points
0.1%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee
89
TENNESSEE
Florida
60
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Tennessee
70
TENNESSEE
Florida
75
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Volunteers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gators
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Volunteers (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Gators (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
TENN @ FLA
67 - 91
Mar 16, 2025
TENN @ FLA
77 - 86
Feb 1, 2025
FLA @ TENN
44 - 64
Jan 7, 2025
TENN @ FLA
43 - 73
Jan 16, 2024
FLA @ TENN
66 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.8% more
Tennessee: 9.8
vs
Florida: 6.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.7%
Tennessee: 36.8%
vs
Florida: 27.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Tennessee: 52.1%
vs
Florida: 47.0%
Blocks (L5)
+79.9% more
Florida: 6.8
vs
Tennessee: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TENN Score
89.0
67
FLA Score
60.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 36.8
30.0 / 40.0
Assists
16.2 / 17.4
14.0 / 8.0
Blocks
6.8 / 3.8
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 52.1
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 63.0
80.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
49.1 / 40.0
41.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.1 / 9.8
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.2
10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TENN
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
TENN
FLA
TENN
ML
77%
27-8
46%
17-20
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
ATS
69%
24-11
54%
20-17
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
TTL
63%
22-13
76%
28-9
100%
35-0
100%
33-0
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