Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Bears WEB @ UNCO

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

8-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 8:00 PM ET
Bank of Colorado Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

11-5  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
WILDCATS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Weber State)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 BearsUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

Bears Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEB -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

WEB By 1-7 points

0.1%

WEB By 8-14 points

0.6%

UNCO By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNCO By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
WEBER STATE
49
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
68
WEBER STATE
72
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 UNCO @ WEB 88 - 74
Jan 10, 2026 WEB @ UNCO 76 - 71
Mar 9, 2025 WEB @ UNCO 52 - 76
Mar 3, 2025 UNCO @ WEB 68 - 63
Jan 2, 2025 WEB @ UNCO 72 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +51.2% more
Weber State: 7.6 vs Northern Colorado: 3.7
Blocks (L5) +44.6% more
Weber State: 1.3 vs Northern Colorado: 0.7
Rebounding (L5) +11.3% more
Weber State: 40.0 vs Northern Colorado: 35.5
Free Throw % (L5) +10.9%
Northern Colorado: 73.8% vs Weber State: 62.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 88.0 76
UNCO Score 49.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.5 / 41.0 7.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.9 / 16.5 11.0 / 4.0
Blocks 0.7 / 1.3 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 47.9 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 62.9 80.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 40.0 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 3.7 / 7.6 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 9.3 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UNCO Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
WEB
UNCO
WEB
ML
50% 16-16
73% 22-8
66% 21-11
73% 22-8
ATS
53% 17-15
63% 19-11
66% 21-11
74% 23-8
TTL
50% 16-16
83% 25-5
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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