Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hornets @ Vikings SAC @ PRST

SACRAMENTO STATE

HORNETSSAC

4-10  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 5:00 PM ET
Viking Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

8-5  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
HORNETS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Portland State)
HornetsSAC (-3.5) 0 VikingsPRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

0.6%

Vikings Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)

SAC By 1-7 points

0.5%

SAC By 8-14 points

0.1%

PRST By 1-7 points

3.3%

PRST By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SACRAMENTO STATE
85
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
72
SACRAMENTO STATE
76
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (-9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 PRST @ SAC 74 - 73
Jan 10, 2026 SAC @ PRST 69 - 96
Mar 3, 2025 SAC @ PRST 56 - 59
Jan 4, 2025 PRST @ SAC 53 - 56
Mar 2, 2024 PRST @ SAC 61 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +57.6% more
Portland State: 15.7 vs Sacramento State: 10.0
Blocks (L5) +45.5% more
Portland State: 5.9 vs Sacramento State: 4.0
Steals (L5) +15.2% more
Portland State: 7.4 vs Sacramento State: 6.4
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Portland State: 47.3% vs Sacramento State: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 60.0 69
PRST Score 85.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 30.4 40.0 / 14.0
Assists 15.7 / 10.0 25.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.9 / 4.0 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 41.2 55.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 74.5 80.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 35.2 47.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.4 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 12.3 11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: 0.0
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: 0.0
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.6
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
SAC
PRST
SAC
ML
65% 20-11
57% 17-13
71% 22-9
87% 26-4
ATS
71% 22-9
73% 22-8
71% 22-9
87% 27-4
TTL
47% 14-16-1
60% 18-12
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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