OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-4 | Road
76
TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
12-3 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
100%
AGGIES
0%
SOONERS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)
OU By 1-7 points
2.2%
OU By 8-14 points
0.4%
TA&M By 1-7 points
9.3%
TA&M By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
67
OKLAHOMA
Texas A&M
86
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Texas A&M
78
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Aggies (-18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
OU @ TA&M
83 - 63
Feb 21, 2026
TA&M @ OU
75 - 71
Jan 10, 2026
OU @ TA&M
76 - 83
Jan 28, 2025
OU @ TA&M
68 - 75
Jan 8, 2025
TA&M @ OU
80 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+72.6% more
Texas A&M: 10.3
vs
Oklahoma: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+43.9% more
Texas A&M: 14.0
vs
Oklahoma: 9.7
Assists (L5)
+39.7% more
Texas A&M: 18.3
vs
Oklahoma: 13.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
Texas A&M: 39.0%
vs
Oklahoma: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
67.0
76
TA&M Score
86.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 31.5
30.0 / 35.0
Assists
18.3 / 13.1
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 45.9
42.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 67.8
84.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 37.7
32.0 / 43.0
Steals
10.3 / 6.0
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 9.7
8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
OU
TA&M
OU
ML
67%
20-10
78%
28-8
54%
15-13
59%
20-14
ATS
67%
20-10
72%
26-10
54%
15-13
59%
20-14
TTL
70%
21-9
75%
27-9
100%
28-0
100%
34-0
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