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KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

12-3  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 3:00 PM ET
McGuirk Arena
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

4-12  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
📊
CHIPPEWAS
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
CHIPPEWAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Central Michigan)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 ChippewasCMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

0.6%

Chippewas Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CMU -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)

KENT By 1-7 points

0.5%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.1%

CMU By 1-7 points

3.3%

CMU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
50
KENT STATE
75
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
78
KENT STATE
72
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chippewas Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chippewas (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CMU @ KENT 81 - 83
Jan 10, 2026 KENT @ CMU 85 - 87
Feb 11, 2025 CMU @ KENT 83 - 91
Mar 2, 2024 CMU @ KENT 73 - 79
Jan 13, 2024 KENT @ CMU 62 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +20.4% more
Central Michigan: 7.3 vs Kent State: 6.0
Rebounding (L5) +18.3% more
Kent State: 32.2 vs Central Michigan: 26.3
Assists (L5) +12.8% more
Kent State: 14.4 vs Central Michigan: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5) +6.7%
Kent State: 81.0% vs Central Michigan: 74.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 50.0 85
CMU Score 75.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.1 / 32.6 28.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.6 / 14.4 14.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.7 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 46.3 46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 81.0 70.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 26.3 / 32.2 39.0 / 49.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.0 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 13.4 7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
KENT
CMU
KENT
ML
57% 17-13
53% 18-16
70% 21-9
65% 22-12
ATS
67% 20-10
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
65% 22-12
TTL
67% 20-10
44% 15-19
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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