QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
8-8 | Road
89
NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
2-14 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
OSPREYS
100%
ROYALS
--
OSPREYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
QUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
QUC By 8-14 points
0.1%
UNF By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
105
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
North Florida
60
NORTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Queens University
73
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
North Florida
78
NORTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ospreys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Ospreys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UNF @ QUC
72 - 91
Jan 10, 2026
QUC @ UNF
89 - 82
Jan 23, 2025
UNF @ QUC
90 - 81
Feb 14, 2024
UNF @ QUC
93 - 79
Jan 20, 2024
QUC @ UNF
75 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.4% more
Queens University: 2.6
vs
North Florida: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+22.6% more
Queens University: 17.6
vs
North Florida: 13.6
Steals (L5)
+18.8% more
Queens University: 5.2
vs
North Florida: 4.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Queens University: 47.8%
vs
North Florida: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
105.0
89
UNF Score
60.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 36.6
31.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.6 / 17.6
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 47.8
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
83.4 / 66.7
83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 33.2
31.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.2
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.0
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNF
QUC
UNF
QUC
ML
69%
22-10
71%
25-10
66%
21-11
71%
24-10
ATS
69%
22-10
86%
30-5
66%
21-11
71%
24-10
TTL
66%
21-11
47%
16-18-1
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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