EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
8-8 | Road
62
WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
6-9 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
BRONCOS
0%
EAGLES
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Western Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WMU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)
EMU By 1-7 points
9.3%
EMU By 8-14 points
2.7%
WMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
WMU By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Michigan
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Western Michigan
76
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Eastern Michigan
70
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Western Michigan
75
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
WMU @ EMU
76 - 62
Jan 10, 2026
EMU @ WMU
62 - 79
Feb 1, 2025
EMU @ WMU
54 - 61
Feb 27, 2024
WMU @ EMU
67 - 70
Jan 23, 2024
EMU @ WMU
56 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+78.1% more
Western Michigan: 6.8
vs
Eastern Michigan: 3.8
Blocks (L5)
+31.2% more
Eastern Michigan: 3.5
vs
Western Michigan: 2.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
Eastern Michigan: 41.0%
vs
Western Michigan: 29.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Eastern Michigan: 47.7%
vs
Western Michigan: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EMU Score
65.0
62
WMU Score
76.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 41.0
44.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.0
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.5
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 47.7
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 72.5
74.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 37.5
39.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.8 / 3.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.7
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
WMU
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
EMU
WMU
EMU
ML
60%
18-12
65%
20-11
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
ATS
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
TTL
57%
17-13
71%
22-9
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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