PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
20-15 | Road
103
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
21-17 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
PHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
111
PHILADELPHIA
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.0
Loss
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u227.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Orlando: 14.9
vs
Philadelphia: 12.3
Rebounding (L5)
+16.7% more
Orlando: 47.0
vs
Philadelphia: 40.2
Blocks (L5)
+34.8% more
Philadelphia: 6.8
vs
Orlando: 4.4
Steals (L5)
+15.4% more
Philadelphia: 11.0
vs
Orlando: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
111.0
103
ORL Score
118.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 38.5
14.0 / 14.0
Assists
28.7 / 27.1
21.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.4 / 6.8
10.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 50.1
41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 80.2
83.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
47.0 / 40.2
42.0 / 52.0
Steals
9.3 / 11.0
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 12.3
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
PHI
ORL
PHI
ML
61%
65-42
63%
69-40
56%
51-40
48%
45-48
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
71-38
56%
51-40
48%
45-48
TTL
57%
61-46
55%
60-49
100%
91-0
100%
93-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…