Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Suns NY @ PHX

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

24-13  |  Road

107
FINAL
Fri, Jan 9 • 9:00 PM ET
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PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

22-15  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
SUNS
0%
KNICKS --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Phoenix)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

38.2%

Suns Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

NY By 1-7 points

21.6%

NY By 8-14 points

10.7%

PHX By 1-7 points

27.2%

PHX By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
116
NEW YORK
119
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
109
NEW YORK
112
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Suns Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Suns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Suns (+1) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Suns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.0 Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim u228.0 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 PHX @ NY 106 - 99
Jan 9, 2026 NY @ PHX 107 - 112
Apr 6, 2025 PHX @ NY 98 - 112
Nov 20, 2024 NY @ PHX 138 - 122
Dec 15, 2023 NY @ PHX 139 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +41.0% more
Phoenix: 9.7 vs New York: 6.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Phoenix: 47.1 vs New York: 43.2
Blocks (L5) +15.8% more
New York: 4.2 vs Phoenix: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5) +15.1%
New York: 88.0% vs Phoenix: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 116.0 107
PHX Score 119.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 39.8 38.0 / 39.0
Assists 25.8 / 25.7 23.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.2 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 45.4 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 88.0 87.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 47.1 / 43.2 37.0 / 50.0
Steals 9.7 / 6.9 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 14.6 10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHX
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHX
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
NY
PHX
NY
ML
57% 60-45
61% 114-72
51% 45-43
56% 57-45
ATS
58% 59-43-3
67% 124-62
51% 45-43
56% 57-45
TTL
59% 61-42-2
72% 133-53
100% 88-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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