IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
4-13 | Road
59
GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
8-8 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
PHOENIX
0%
JAGUARS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GB -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
IUIN By 1-7 points
21.6%
IUIN By 8-14 points
10.7%
GB By 1-7 points
27.2%
GB By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
87
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Green Bay
90
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
74
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Green Bay
78
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 9, 2026
IUIN @ GB
59 - 75
Dec 11, 2025
GB @ IUIN
85 - 75
Jan 22, 2025
IUIN @ GB
86 - 77
Dec 4, 2024
GB @ IUIN
75 - 84
Feb 1, 2024
IUIN @ GB
56 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Green Bay: 54.3%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 45.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Green Bay: 36.4%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 32.5%
Blocks (L5)
+57.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 3.2
vs
Green Bay: 1.4
Steals (L5)
+56.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 9.5
vs
Green Bay: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
87.0
59
GB Score
90.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 32.5
35.0 / 24.0
Assists
11.7 / 19.6
14.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.4 / 3.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
54.3 / 45.9
46.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 74.3
81.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
28.1 / 30.9
47.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.2 / 9.5
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 11.9
16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
IUIN
GB
IUIN
ML
48%
16-17
69%
22-10
67%
22-11
78%
25-7
ATS
52%
17-16
66%
21-11
67%
22-11
78%
25-7
TTL
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
