Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Titans WRST @ DETM

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

9-7  |  Road

84
FINAL
Fri, Jan 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Calihan Hall
View Odds Details →

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

6-8  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
TITANS
0%
RAIDERS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 TitansDETM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

24.2%

Titans Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)

WRST By 1-7 points

15.3%

WRST By 8-14 points

5.8%

DETM By 1-7 points

26.2%

DETM By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
80
WRIGHT STATE
87
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
65
WRIGHT STATE
78
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 DETM @ WRST 63 - 66
Feb 12, 2026 DETM @ WRST 77 - 74
Jan 9, 2026 WRST @ DETM 84 - 82
Jan 25, 2025 DETM @ WRST 50 - 67
Dec 7, 2024 WRST @ DETM 80 - 72
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Detroit Mercy: 44.3% vs Wright State: 40.9%
Blocks (L5) +29.4% more
Wright State: 6.6 vs Detroit Mercy: 4.6
Assists (L5) +24.3% more
Wright State: 14.4 vs Detroit Mercy: 10.9
Steals (L5) +16.7% more
Wright State: 7.0 vs Detroit Mercy: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 80.0 84
DETM Score 87.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.3 / 40.9 21.0 / 44.0
Assists 10.9 / 14.4 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.6 / 6.6 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 50.5 47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 77.0 74.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 35.1 35.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.8 / 7.0 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 12.5 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
DETM
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
WRST
DETM
WRST
ML
58% 18-13
37% 13-22
50% 15-15
63% 22-13
ATS
61% 19-12
46% 16-19
50% 15-15
63% 22-13
TTL
61% 19-12
63% 22-13
100% 30-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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