OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
20-17-5 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
31-4-7 | Home
8
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mads Sogaard
#40 | G@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Sogaard | None-None | 17.22 | 0.688 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
17.22
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.688
Save %
Ldr 0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
SENATORS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
OTT By 1 goal
2.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
1.2%
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
COL @ OTT
2 - 5
Jan 8, 2026
OTT @ COL
2 - 8
Mar 20, 2025
COL @ OTT
5 - 1
Oct 27, 2024
OTT @ COL
4 - 5
Jan 16, 2024
COL @ OTT
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+9.4% more
Colorado: 4.3
vs
Ottawa: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.1%
Colorado: 59.9%
vs
Ottawa: 53.7%
Hits (L5)
+28.9% more
Ottawa: 23.7
vs
Colorado: 16.9
Power Play % (L5)
+1.5%
Ottawa: 13.0%
vs
Colorado: 11.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
1.0
2
COL Score
4.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 13.2
20.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
59.9 / 53.7
54.1 / 45.9
Hits
16.9 / 23.7
13.0 / 38.0
Power Play %
11.5 / 13.0
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 32.3
34.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 3.9
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
OTT
COL
OTT
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…