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LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

9-6  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Edmunds Center
View Odds Details →

STETSON

HATTERSSTET

5-10  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
HATTERS
100%
BISONS --
HATTERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
STETSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 HattersSTET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

13.6%

Hatters Cover

86.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STET +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STET)

LIP By 1-7 points

21.6%

LIP By 8-14 points

27.4%

STET By 1-7 points

9.3%

STET By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
LIPSCOMB
69
STETSON
Simulated Score
72
LIPSCOMB
78
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bisons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hatters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hatters (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim Hatters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 STET @ LIP 74 - 79
Jan 8, 2026 LIP @ STET 83 - 91
Feb 13, 2025 STET @ LIP 60 - 93
Jan 27, 2024 LIP @ STET 59 - 80
Feb 28, 2023 LIP @ STET 83 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.6% more
Lipscomb: 18.6 vs Stetson: 14.2
Rebounding (L5) +18.6% more
Lipscomb: 37.5 vs Stetson: 30.5
Steals (L5) +9.6% more
Lipscomb: 6.6 vs Stetson: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Lipscomb: 38.5% vs Stetson: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 80.0 83
STET Score 69.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 38.5 36.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.2 / 18.6 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.4 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 45.0 53.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 73.7 79.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 37.5 29.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.6 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 8.5 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
STET
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
STET Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
LIP
STET
LIP
ML
55% 18-15
71% 22-9
73% 24-9
66% 19-10
ATS
64% 21-12
71% 22-9
73% 24-9
66% 19-10
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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