Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Catamounts BING @ UVM

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

4-12  |  Road

59
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Patrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

9-7  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
📊
CATAMOUNTS
0%
BEARCATS --
CATAMOUNTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Vermont)
BearcatsBING (-3.5) 0 CatamountsUVM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

0.2%

Catamounts Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)

BING By 1-7 points

0.1%

BING By 8-14 points

0.0%

UVM By 1-7 points

1.4%

UVM By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
BINGHAMTON
86
VERMONT
Simulated Score
60
BINGHAMTON
75
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Catamounts Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Catamounts Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Catamounts (-20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Catamounts (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 UVM @ BING 73 - 65
Jan 8, 2026 BING @ UVM 59 - 60
Jan 30, 2025 UVM @ BING 72 - 75
Jan 16, 2025 BING @ UVM 64 - 72
Feb 3, 2024 BING @ UVM 49 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +25.3% more
Vermont: 33.7 vs Binghamton: 26.9
Free Throw % (L5) +2.0%
Vermont: 79.9% vs Binghamton: 77.9%
Turnovers (L5) +39.5% more
Binghamton: 13.7 vs Vermont: 8.3
Steals (L5) +9.3% more
Binghamton: 6.7 vs Vermont: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BING Score 57.0 59
UVM Score 86.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 34.0 31.0 / 30.0
Assists 11.7 / 11.6 8.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.0 / 2.0 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 46.7 44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 77.9 54.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 26.9 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.7 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 13.7 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
UVM Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BING Advantage
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
UVM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
BING
UVM
BING
ML
56% 19-15
67% 20-10
65% 22-12
57% 17-13
ATS
62% 21-13
73% 22-8
65% 22-12
57% 17-13
TTL
47% 16-18
70% 21-9
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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