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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

22-17-3  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

24-13-6  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Sam Montembeault
GOALTENDER

Sam Montembeault

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Sam Montembeault None-None 2.00 0.926 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.00
-- Save % 0.926
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
CANADIENS
100%
PANTHERS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

97.7%

Canadiens Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

6.6%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

MTL By 1 goal

0.9%

MTL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
FLORIDA
1
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 FLA @ MTL 3 - 4
Jan 8, 2026 FLA @ MTL 2 - 6
Dec 30, 2025 MTL @ FLA 3 - 2
Apr 1, 2025 FLA @ MTL 2 - 3
Mar 30, 2025 MTL @ FLA 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +26.7% more
Florida: 5.8 vs Montreal: 4.3
Hits (L5) +19.2% more
Florida: 29.2 vs Montreal: 23.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +51.8% more
Montreal: 15.3 vs Florida: 10.1
Faceoff % (L5) +2.8%
Montreal: 48.9% vs Florida: 46.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 5.0 2
MTL Score 1.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 10.1 20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 48.9 / 46.1 42.4 / 57.6
Hits 23.6 / 29.2 18.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 736.0 / 841.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.9 / 29.9 19.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 5.8 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
FLA
MTL
FLA
ML
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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