CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
18-21-4 | Road
1
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
22-19-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mason Lohrei
#6 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.00 | 0.867 | -- |
| Mason Lohrei | 16-11 | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
16-11
4.00
GAA
--
0.867
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BRUINS
0%
FLAMES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
CGY @ BOS
1 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
BOS @ CGY
1 - 2
Dec 17, 2024
BOS @ CGY
4 - 3
Nov 7, 2024
CGY @ BOS
3 - 4
Feb 22, 2024
BOS @ CGY
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+25.0%
Boston: 33.9%
vs
Calgary: 9.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
Boston: 14.4
vs
Calgary: 13.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.8%
Boston: 53.0%
vs
Calgary: 51.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+12.6% more
Calgary: 5.2
vs
Boston: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
1
BOS Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.4 / 13.0
17.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 51.2
55.4 / 44.6
Hits
20.6 / 22.6
23.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
3394.0 / 896.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 29.9
30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.2
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CGY
BOS
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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