Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Skyhawks @ Blue Devils STO @ CCSU

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

4-11  |  Road

69
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Detrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

7-6  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
SKYHAWKS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Central Connecticut)
SkyhawksSTO (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsCCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

0.2%

Blue Devils Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCSU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)

STO By 1-7 points

0.1%

STO By 8-14 points

0.0%

CCSU By 1-7 points

1.4%

CCSU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
65
STONEHILL
94
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
68
STONEHILL
72
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 26, 2026 CCSU @ STO 59 - 61
Jan 8, 2026 STO @ CCSU 69 - 76
Feb 22, 2025 STO @ CCSU 41 - 67
Feb 1, 2025 CCSU @ STO 71 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 STO @ CCSU 67 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.2% more
Central Connecticut: 6.0 vs Stonehill: 4.4
Assists (L5) +19.7% more
Central Connecticut: 14.8 vs Stonehill: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
Central Connecticut: 45.2% vs Stonehill: 34.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Central Connecticut: 49.6% vs Stonehill: 39.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STO Score 65.0 69
CCSU Score 94.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.2 / 34.5 43.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.8 / 12.4 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.0 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 39.9 53.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 69.3 83.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 29.9 / 36.4 29.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.0 / 4.4 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 12.0 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
CCSU Advantage
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
STO
CCSU
STO
ML
57% 17-13
45% 15-18
57% 17-13
70% 23-10
ATS
63% 19-11
39% 13-20
57% 17-13
70% 23-10
TTL
60% 18-12
55% 18-15
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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