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QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

7-8  |  Road

77
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Swisher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

5-10  |  Home

51
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
📊
DOLPHINS
100%
ROYALS --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Queens University)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 DolphinsJAX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

99.7%

Dolphins Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)

QUC By 1-7 points

1.7%

QUC By 8-14 points

6.8%

JAX By 1-7 points

0.2%

JAX By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
79
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
51
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
68
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
72
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Dolphins (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 JAX @ QUC 84 - 93
Jan 8, 2026 QUC @ JAX 77 - 51
Jan 25, 2025 JAX @ QUC 87 - 77
Feb 16, 2024 JAX @ QUC 65 - 74
Jan 18, 2024 QUC @ JAX 77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +29.0% more
Queens University: 18.8 vs Jacksonville: 13.4
Free Throw % (L5) +5.0%
Queens University: 70.6% vs Jacksonville: 65.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Queens University: 47.2% vs Jacksonville: 44.1%
Blocks (L5) +28.8% more
Jacksonville: 3.7 vs Queens University: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 79.0 77
JAX Score 51.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 31.0 21.0 / 48.0
Assists 13.4 / 18.8 5.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.9 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 47.2 37.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 70.6 45.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 34.8 32.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.5 / 4.7 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 11.1 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC Advantage
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
QUC
JAX
QUC
ML
74% 23-8
71% 25-10
60% 18-12
71% 24-10
ATS
65% 20-11
86% 30-5
61% 19-12
71% 24-10
TTL
65% 20-11
47% 16-18-1
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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