Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Beach @ Anteaters LBSU @ UCI

LONG BEACH STATE

BEACHLBSU

5-10  |  Road

64
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 10:00 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

11-5  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
BEACH
0%
📊
ANTEATERS
100%
BEACH --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
LONG BEACH STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Long Beach State)
BeachLBSU (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Beach Cover

98.2%

Anteaters Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LBSU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LBSU)

LBSU By 1-7 points

6.8%

LBSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

UCI By 1-7 points

1.4%

UCI By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
87
LONG BEACH STATE
66
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
70
LONG BEACH STATE
75
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Beach Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Beach (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Anteaters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 UCI @ LBSU 69 - 58
Jan 8, 2026 LBSU @ UCI 64 - 74
Mar 1, 2025 LBSU @ UCI 60 - 70
Jan 30, 2025 UCI @ LBSU 80 - 75
Mar 15, 2024 LBSU @ UCI 83 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +22.3% more
Long Beach State: 8.3 vs UC Irvine: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Long Beach State: 72.8% vs UC Irvine: 65.8%
Blocks (L5) +25.7% more
UC Irvine: 5.1 vs Long Beach State: 4.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.1%
UC Irvine: 44.9% vs Long Beach State: 31.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LBSU Score 87.0 64
UCI Score 66.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.9 / 31.8 31.0 / 29.0
Assists 17.7 / 17.1 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.1 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.5 / 50.9 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 65.8 / 72.8 79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 34.3 38.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.3 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 11.6 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LBSU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LBSU Advantage
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LBSU
19-10-1
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.7
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
LBSU
UCI
LBSU
ML
57% 20-15
55% 17-14
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
ATS
63% 22-13
68% 21-10
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
TTL
57% 20-15
61% 19-12
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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