MONTANA
GRIZZLIESMONT
8-7 | Road
79
IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
9-5 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
VANDALS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
VANDALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Idaho)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IDHO -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)
MONT By 1-7 points
1.7%
MONT By 8-14 points
0.3%
IDHO By 1-7 points
8.0%
IDHO By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montana
61
MONTANA
Idaho
81
IDAHO
Simulated Score
Montana
74
MONTANA
Idaho
65
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vandals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vandals (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
IDHO @ MONT
77 - 66
Feb 7, 2026
IDHO @ MONT
68 - 73
Jan 8, 2026
MONT @ IDHO
79 - 73
Mar 11, 2025
IDHO @ MONT
55 - 78
Jan 20, 2025
IDHO @ MONT
67 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+31.2% more
Idaho: 7.9
vs
Montana: 6.0
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Idaho: 36.8
vs
Montana: 33.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Idaho: 37.4%
vs
Montana: 35.7%
Assists (L5)
+28.6% more
Montana: 15.9
vs
Idaho: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONT Score
61.0
79
IDHO Score
81.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 35.7
17.0 / 33.0
Assists
11.4 / 15.9
6.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 48.0
39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 80.9
66.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 33.9
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.0
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.6
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONT
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: -0.4
IDHO
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONT
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: -0.4
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.4
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
MONT
IDHO
MONT
ML
56%
20-16
39%
13-20
64%
21-12
73%
24-9
ATS
58%
21-15
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
73%
24-9
TTL
69%
25-11
59%
19-13-1
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
Duke Hosts Five-Star Asa Montgomery for Official Visit, Looking …
Kyrie Irving Declares Himself Ready, Cooper Flagg Reveals Growth…
West Virginia Men's Basketball Opens Fall Practice with Revamped…
Washburn Coach Brett Ballard Reveals Neurological Episode Caused…