UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

6-10  |  Road

77
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 6:00 PM ET
Chace Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

BRYANT

BULLDOGSBRY

5-10  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
RIVER HAWKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
97.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (UMass Lowell)
River HawksUML (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBRY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

River Hawks Cover

99.8%

Bulldogs Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UML -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)

UML By 1-7 points

1.4%

UML By 8-14 points

5.8%

BRY By 1-7 points

0.1%

BRY By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
63
UMASS LOWELL
34
BRYANT
Simulated Score
71
UMASS LOWELL
75
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI River Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI River Hawks (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 97.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 BRY @ UML 69 - 88
Jan 8, 2026 UML @ BRY 77 - 63
Feb 27, 2025 BRY @ UML 79 - 78
Jan 18, 2025 UML @ BRY 62 - 85
Mar 12, 2024 BRY @ UML 70 - 77
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
UMass Lowell: 35.8% vs Bryant: 27.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.6%
UMass Lowell: 49.4% vs Bryant: 41.7%
Blocks (L5) +65.7% more
Bryant: 7.1 vs UMass Lowell: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +28.0% more
Bryant: 15.4 vs UMass Lowell: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UML Score 63.0 77
BRY Score 34.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 35.8 33.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.4 / 13.2 18.0 / 10.0
Blocks 7.1 / 4.3 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 49.4 41.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 59.8 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 35.2 27.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.4 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 12.0 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
BRY
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -7.6 ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
BRY
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -7.6 ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.7