AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
RIVER HAWKS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
97.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (UMass Lowell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UML -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)
UML By 1-7 points
1.4%
UML By 8-14 points
5.8%
BRY By 1-7 points
0.1%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UMass Lowell
63
UMASS LOWELL
Bryant
34
BRYANT
Simulated Score
UMass Lowell
71
UMASS LOWELL
Bryant
75
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
River Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
River Hawks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 97.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
BRY @ UML
69 - 88
Jan 8, 2026
UML @ BRY
77 - 63
Feb 27, 2025
BRY @ UML
79 - 78
Jan 18, 2025
UML @ BRY
62 - 85
Mar 12, 2024
BRY @ UML
70 - 77
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
UMass Lowell: 35.8%
vs
Bryant: 27.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
UMass Lowell: 49.4%
vs
Bryant: 41.7%
Blocks (L5)
+65.7% more
Bryant: 7.1
vs
UMass Lowell: 4.3
Turnovers (L5)
+28.0% more
Bryant: 15.4
vs
UMass Lowell: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UML Score
63.0
77
BRY Score
34.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 35.8
33.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.4 / 13.2
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
7.1 / 4.3
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 49.4
41.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 59.8
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 35.2
27.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.4
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.0
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
UML
BRY
UML
ML
70%
21-9
70%
23-10
80%
24-6
58%
19-14
ATS
73%
22-8
70%
23-10
80%
24-6
58%
19-14
TTL
67%
20-10
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0