Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Roos NDSU @ KC

NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

12-5  |  Road

97
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Swinney Center
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

4-12  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
ROOS
0%
BISON --
ROOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Kansas City)
BisonNDSU (-3.5) 0 RoosKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

6.7%

Roos Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

NDSU By 1-7 points

4.8%

NDSU By 8-14 points

1.1%

KC By 1-7 points

15.3%

KC By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
76
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
91
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
68
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
72
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Roos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Roos (+9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Roos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 KC @ NDSU 59 - 95
Jan 8, 2026 NDSU @ KC 97 - 73
Feb 6, 2025 NDSU @ KC 78 - 72
Jan 16, 2025 KC @ NDSU 64 - 71
Feb 8, 2024 KC @ NDSU 78 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.3%
Kansas City: 75.8% vs North Dakota State: 64.5%
Turnovers (L5) +15.0% more
North Dakota State: 13.4 vs Kansas City: 11.4
Assists (L5) +14.8% more
North Dakota State: 13.8 vs Kansas City: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +14.4% more
North Dakota State: 39.8 vs Kansas City: 34.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score 76.0 97
KC Score 91.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 32.8 36.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.8 / 13.8 17.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.9 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 46.8 49.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 64.5 65.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 39.8 31.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.2 4.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 13.4 17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
NDSU
KC
NDSU
ML
63% 19-11
49% 17-18
67% 20-10
59% 20-14
ATS
67% 20-10
54% 19-16
67% 20-10
59% 20-14
TTL
70% 21-9
43% 15-20
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 14 hours ago
Caleb Foster Anchors Duke's Loaded Backcourt for 2026-27
headtopics 1 week, 5 days ago
Duke's Guard Depth: Caleb Foster Mentors Deron Rippey Jr. as Blu…
si 1 week, 5 days ago
Iowa State Guard Tamin Lipsey Wins Eligibility Battle, Set to Re…
si 2 weeks ago
Nuggets Eye Ryan Nembhard as Potential Two-Way Steal if Hornets …
yahoo 2 weeks, 1 day ago