STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
9-7 | Road
37
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
6-10 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
100%
DRAGONS
0%
SEAWOLVES
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Drexel)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DREX -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
STBK By 1-7 points
3.3%
STBK By 8-14 points
0.6%
DREX By 1-7 points
12.2%
DREX By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stony Brook
47
STONY BROOK
Drexel
64
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Stony Brook
68
STONY BROOK
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dragons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dragons (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
DREX @ STBK
69 - 72
Jan 8, 2026
STBK @ DREX
37 - 56
Jan 9, 2025
DREX @ STBK
67 - 51
Mar 10, 2024
STBK @ DREX
91 - 88
Feb 29, 2024
STBK @ DREX
86 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.7% more
Stony Brook: 3.8
vs
Drexel: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+21.0% more
Stony Brook: 11.6
vs
Drexel: 9.2
Assists (L5)
+18.8% more
Stony Brook: 13.9
vs
Drexel: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.2%
Stony Brook: 73.0%
vs
Drexel: 63.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STBK Score
47.0
37
DREX Score
64.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 37.5
42.0 / 19.0
Assists
11.3 / 13.9
14.0 / 6.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.8
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 42.0
39.0 / 20.0
Free Throw %
63.8 / 73.0
80.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 31.3
40.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 11.6
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
STBK
DREX
STBK
ML
58%
19-14
61%
19-12
81%
26-6
71%
22-9
ATS
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
81%
26-6
71%
22-9
TTL
48%
16-17
65%
20-11
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
