AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
0%
CHANTICLEERS
100%
MONARCHS
--
CHANTICLEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Old Dominion)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ODU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)
ODU By 1-7 points
9.3%
ODU By 8-14 points
20.1%
CCU By 1-7 points
2.2%
CCU By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Old Dominion
71
OLD DOMINION
Coastal Carolina
52
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Old Dominion
70
OLD DOMINION
Coastal Carolina
72
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Monarchs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chanticleers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Monarchs (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Chanticleers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
ODU @ CCU
70 - 66
Dec 20, 2025
CCU @ ODU
76 - 74
Feb 28, 2025
ODU @ CCU
61 - 59
Jan 25, 2025
CCU @ ODU
52 - 74
Feb 24, 2024
CCU @ ODU
59 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.6% more
Old Dominion: 6.0
vs
Coastal Carolina: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+23.6% more
Old Dominion: 12.2
vs
Coastal Carolina: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Old Dominion: 33.5%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 28.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Old Dominion: 40.5%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 38.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ODU Score
71.0
70
CCU Score
52.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 33.5
42.0 / 33.0
Assists
9.3 / 12.2
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.7
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 40.5
36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 72.6
78.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 35.7
34.0 / 46.0
Steals
4.3 / 6.0
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 9.7
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
ODU
CCU
ODU
ML
41%
13-19
52%
17-16
55%
17-14
67%
22-11
ATS
38%
12-20
70%
23-10
55%
17-14
67%
22-11
TTL
75%
24-8
70%
23-10
100%
31-0
100%
33-0