Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Huskies UNCW @ NE

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

14-2  |  Road

87
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Cabot Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

5-9  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
SEAHAWKS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SeahawksUNCW (-3.5) 0 HuskiesNE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

38.2%

Huskies Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NE +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)

UNCW By 1-7 points

27.2%

UNCW By 8-14 points

20.1%

NE By 1-7 points

21.6%

NE By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
73
UNC WILMINGTON
70
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
70
UNC WILMINGTON
75
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 8, 2026 UNCW @ NE 87 - 78
Jan 16, 2025 NE @ UNCW 72 - 80
Jan 25, 2024 UNCW @ NE 77 - 54
Feb 11, 2023 NE @ UNCW 59 - 71
Jan 27, 2022 NE @ UNCW 62 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +37.1% more
UNC Wilmington: 41.5 vs Northeastern: 26.1
Blocks (L5) +30.5% more
UNC Wilmington: 4.7 vs Northeastern: 3.2
Steals (L5) +18.4% more
UNC Wilmington: 6.8 vs Northeastern: 5.6
Assists (L5) +47.9% more
Northeastern: 17.8 vs UNC Wilmington: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCW Score 73.0 87
NE Score 70.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 46.3 / 26.5 29.0 / 37.0
Assists 17.8 / 12.0 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.7 5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 52.1 / 41.7 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 60.1 58.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 26.1 / 41.5 29.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.8 8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 9.8 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
UNCW
NE
UNCW
ML
70% 21-9
64% 21-12
60% 18-12
52% 17-16
ATS
63% 19-11
58% 19-14
60% 18-12
52% 17-16
TTL
53% 16-14
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 22 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 34 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 7 hours, 36 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 20 minutes ago
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago