Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Lumberjacks WEB @ NAU

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

7-8  |  Road

78
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 8:00 PM ET
J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN ARIZONA

LUMBERJACKSNAU

6-9  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
LUMBERJACKS
100%
WILDCATS --
LUMBERJACKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Weber State)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 LumberjacksNAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

Lumberjacks Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEB -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

WEB By 1-7 points

0.1%

WEB By 8-14 points

0.5%

NAU By 1-7 points

0.0%

NAU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
WEBER STATE
48
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Simulated Score
75
WEBER STATE
72
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 NAU @ WEB 53 - 72
Jan 8, 2026 WEB @ NAU 78 - 65
Feb 3, 2025 NAU @ WEB 73 - 77
Jan 4, 2025 WEB @ NAU 77 - 80
Mar 2, 2024 NAU @ WEB 58 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +33.3% more
Weber State: 9.5 vs Northern Arizona: 6.3
Rebounding (L5) +24.7% more
Weber State: 40.4 vs Northern Arizona: 30.5
Assists (L5) +16.9% more
Weber State: 16.3 vs Northern Arizona: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Weber State: 72.8% vs Northern Arizona: 67.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 88.0 78
NAU Score 48.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.2 / 39.0 24.0 / 45.0
Assists 13.5 / 16.3 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.0 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 48.8 44.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 72.8 65.0 / 43.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 40.4 34.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.3 / 9.5 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 11.5 8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
NAU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
NAU
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAU
WEB
NAU
WEB
ML
62% 20-12
73% 22-8
81% 26-6
73% 22-8
ATS
62% 20-12
63% 19-11
81% 26-6
74% 23-8
TTL
66% 21-11
83% 25-5
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 9 hours, 50 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 9 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 4 hours ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 21 hours ago
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
si 6 days, 4 hours ago