Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Flash @ Seahawks SFPA @ WAG

SAINT FRANCIS

RED FLASHSFPA

3-12  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Spiro Sports Center
View Odds Details →

WAGNER

SEAHAWKSWAG

6-7  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
RED FLASH --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Wagner)
Red FlashSFPA (-3.5) 0 SeahawksWAG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Flash Cover

0.0%

Seahawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAG -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)

SFPA By 1-7 points

0.0%

SFPA By 8-14 points

0.0%

WAG By 1-7 points

0.0%

WAG By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
54
SAINT FRANCIS
109
WAGNER
Simulated Score
68
SAINT FRANCIS
72
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 WAG @ SFPA 65 - 56
Jan 8, 2026 SFPA @ WAG 71 - 69
Mar 5, 2025 WAG @ SFPA 55 - 58
Jan 26, 2025 WAG @ SFPA 68 - 66
Jan 20, 2025 SFPA @ WAG 68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +71.0% more
Wagner: 3.1 vs Saint Francis: 1.8
Rebounding (L5) +28.8% more
Wagner: 38.7 vs Saint Francis: 30.0
Free Throw % (L5) +15.8%
Wagner: 83.1% vs Saint Francis: 67.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Wagner: 44.5% vs Saint Francis: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score 54.0 71
WAG Score 109.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 34.4 24.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.4 / 14.4 15.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.8 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 41.2 44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 83.1 / 67.3 63.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 38.7 / 30.0 38.0 / 30.0
Steals 4.5 / 6.7 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 10.7 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
WAG Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
WAG Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +5.8
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
SFPA
WAG
SFPA
ML
63% 19-11
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
67% 20-10
ATS
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
67% 20-10
TTL
53% 16-14
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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