COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
18-17-7 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
18-11-12 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 5.28 | 0.808 | -- |
| Carter Hart | None-None | 7.14 | 0.000 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.28 Ldr
GAA
7.14
0.808 Ldr
Save %
0.000
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
VGK By 1 goal
2.8%
VGK By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Vegas
1
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
CBJ @ VGK
3 - 5
Dec 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
3 - 2
Mar 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
4 - 0
Jan 30, 2025
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 1
Mar 23, 2024
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.7% more
Columbus: 31.8
vs
Vegas: 24.9
Takeaways (L5)
+14.6% more
Columbus: 5.1
vs
Vegas: 4.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.5% more
Columbus: 15.6
vs
Vegas: 13.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Columbus: 51.9%
vs
Vegas: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
4.0
3
VGK Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 15.6
20.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
47.2 / 51.9
36.8 / 63.2
Hits
27.0 / 19.0
19.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
23.4 / 2.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.9 / 31.8
26.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.1
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CBJ
VGK
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
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