NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
22-19-2 | Road
1
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
20-12-9 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 4.00 | 0.862 | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
--
0.862
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
DEVILS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NJ By 1 goal
6.6%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PIT By 1 goal
0.9%
PIT By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
5
NEW JERSEY
Pittsburgh
1
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Devils (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PIT @ NJ
5 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
NJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Jan 8, 2026
NJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025
PIT @ NJ
1 - 2
Apr 11, 2025
PIT @ NJ
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+13.8% more
New Jersey: 19.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 16.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+59.2% more
Pittsburgh: 14.6
vs
New Jersey: 9.2
Takeaways (L5)
+28.8% more
Pittsburgh: 5.8
vs
New Jersey: 4.5
Power Play % (L5)
+9.1%
Pittsburgh: 26.2%
vs
New Jersey: 17.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
5.0
1
PIT Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 9.2
16.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
52.4 / 49.9
44.1 / 55.9
Hits
16.8 / 19.5
10.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
26.2 / 17.2
33.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
34.2 / 35.3
29.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 4.5
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NJ
PIT
NJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-2-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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