Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Raiders AMER @ COLG

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

9-6  |  Road

62
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Cotterell Court
View Odds Details →

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

8-7  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
EAGLES --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Colgate)
EaglesAMER (-3.5) 0 RaidersCOLG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.6%

Raiders Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)

AMER By 1-7 points

0.5%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.1%

COLG By 1-7 points

3.3%

COLG By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
50
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
75
COLGATE
Simulated Score
69
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
78
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 COLG @ AMER 66 - 70
Jan 7, 2026 AMER @ COLG 62 - 64
Mar 9, 2025 COLG @ AMER 62 - 72
Mar 1, 2025 AMER @ COLG 67 - 59
Jan 25, 2025 COLG @ AMER 77 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +225.9% more
Colgate: 4.4 vs American University: 1.4
Rebounding (L5) +22.7% more
Colgate: 33.3 vs American University: 27.1
Assists (L5) +12.5% more
Colgate: 16.2 vs American University: 14.4
Steals (L5) +35.8% more
American University: 8.5 vs Colgate: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMER Score 50.0 62
COLG Score 75.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 38.0 31.0 / 53.0
Assists 16.2 / 14.4 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.4 / 1.4 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 46.4 45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 74.5 / 78.0 61.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 27.1 36.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.5 / 8.5 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 9.0 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMER
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
AMER
COLG
AMER
ML
59% 19-13
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
ATS
72% 23-9
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
TTL
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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