Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Panthers LAR @ CAR

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

12-5  |  Road

34
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 4:30 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

8-9  |  Home

31
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
RAMS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CAR +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

16.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.3%

CAR By 1-6 points

12.9%

CAR By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
31
LOS ANGELES
24
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
27
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+10) Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o44.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
D
Sim u44.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 LAR @ CAR 34 - 31
Nov 30, 2025 LAR @ CAR 28 - 31
Oct 16, 2022 CAR @ LAR 10 - 24
Sep 8, 2019 LAR @ CAR 30 - 27
Nov 6, 2016 CAR @ LAR 13 - 10
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +35.9% more
Los Angeles: 26.2 vs Carolina: 16.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +29.2% more
Los Angeles: 284.3 vs Carolina: 201.3
Total Yards (L5) +28.7% more
Los Angeles: 445.9 vs Carolina: 318.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +27.8% more
Los Angeles: 161.6 vs Carolina: 116.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 31.0 34
CAR Score 24.0 31
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
LAR
CAR
LAR
ML
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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