Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ 76ers WSH @ PHI

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

10-25  |  Road

110
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

19-15  |  Home

131
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
WIZARDS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

46.0%

76ers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

WSH By 1-7 points

24.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

13.7%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
113
WASHINGTON
114
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
119
WASHINGTON
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+16) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wizards (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.5 Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim u235.5 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Philadelphia: 38.7% vs Washington: 35.3%
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Washington: 15.9 vs Philadelphia: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5) +8.3%
Washington: 86.7% vs Philadelphia: 78.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 113.0 110
PHI Score 114.0 131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 35.3 38.0 / 39.0
Assists 25.6 / 24.3 30.0 / 29.0
Blocks 7.7 / 8.2 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 46.9 54.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 78.4 / 86.7 84.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 43.3 / 44.0 34.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.9 / 9.6 15.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 15.9 10.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
WSH
PHI
WSH
ML
63% 69-40
70% 112-49
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
ATS
65% 71-38
69% 111-49-1
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
TTL
55% 60-49
74% 119-41-1
100% 93-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 6 hours, 45 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 12 hours, 58 minutes ago
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
cbssports 1 day ago
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day ago
Colin Cowherd: LeBron James' Arthritis and Sciatica Made 76ers t…
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago