LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
23-11 | Road
91
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
25-11 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
SPURS
0%
LAKERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
LAL By 1-7 points
4.0%
LAL By 8-14 points
0.8%
SA By 1-7 points
13.7%
SA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
107
LOS ANGELES
San Antonio
123
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
109
LOS ANGELES
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (-9)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 10, 2026
SA @ LAL
136 - 108
Jan 7, 2026
LAL @ SA
91 - 107
Dec 10, 2025
SA @ LAL
132 - 119
Nov 5, 2025
SA @ LAL
116 - 118
Mar 17, 2025
SA @ LAL
109 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.4% more
San Antonio: 49.0
vs
Los Angeles: 41.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
San Antonio: 82.5%
vs
Los Angeles: 74.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+23.8% more
Los Angeles: 15.4
vs
San Antonio: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Los Angeles: 5.1
vs
San Antonio: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAL Score
107.0
91
SA Score
123.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 32.4
16.0 / 23.0
Assists
25.6 / 27.7
24.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 50.5
49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
82.5 / 74.5
82.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
49.0 / 41.7
50.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.7
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 15.4
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
LAL
SA
LAL
ML
60%
111-73
61%
68-43
58%
61-44
54%
49-42
ATS
58%
107-76-1
61%
67-43-1
58%
61-44
54%
49-42
TTL
74%
134-47-3
61%
66-43-2
100%
105-0
100%
91-0
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