Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Nets ORL @ BKN

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

20-17  |  Road

104
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

11-22  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
NETS
0%
MAGIC --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Brooklyn)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

38.2%

Nets Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

ORL By 1-7 points

21.6%

ORL By 8-14 points

10.7%

BKN By 1-7 points

27.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
112
ORLANDO
115
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
108
ORLANDO
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 BKN @ ORL 98 - 118
Jan 7, 2026 ORL @ BKN 104 - 103
Nov 14, 2025 BKN @ ORL 98 - 105
Dec 29, 2024 BKN @ ORL 101 - 102
Dec 1, 2024 ORL @ BKN 100 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.8% more
Brooklyn: 10.0 vs Orlando: 7.9
Free Throw % (L5) +7.8%
Brooklyn: 80.8% vs Orlando: 72.9%
Assists (L5) +15.3% more
Orlando: 29.0 vs Brooklyn: 24.6
Rebounding (L5) +12.3% more
Orlando: 43.0 vs Brooklyn: 37.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 112.0 104
BKN Score 115.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 36.7 33.0 / 27.0
Assists 24.6 / 29.0 23.0 / 28.0
Blocks 4.9 / 4.7 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 48.7 42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 80.8 / 72.9 64.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 43.0 44.0 / 55.0
Steals 10.0 / 7.9 11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 13.3 21.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL Advantage
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
ORL
BKN
ORL
ML
53% 50-45
61% 65-42
59% 48-34
56% 51-40
ATS
52% 48-44-3
64% 68-38-1
59% 48-34
56% 51-40
TTL
57% 54-41
57% 61-46
100% 82-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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