TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
22-15 | Road
97
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
13-23 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
HORNETS
100%
RAPTORS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
25.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
26.2%
CHA By 1-7 points
13.7%
CHA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
121
TORONTO
Charlotte
113
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Toronto
105
TORONTO
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o229.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
TOR @ CHA
97 - 96
Dec 5, 2025
CHA @ TOR
111 - 86
Nov 29, 2025
TOR @ CHA
111 - 118
Nov 17, 2025
CHA @ TOR
108 - 110
Apr 9, 2025
CHA @ TOR
96 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.1% more
Toronto: 8.9
vs
Charlotte: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+19.4% more
Toronto: 5.5
vs
Charlotte: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+11.8% more
Toronto: 30.0
vs
Charlotte: 26.4
Turnovers (L5)
+25.4% more
Charlotte: 16.0
vs
Toronto: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
121.0
97
CHA Score
113.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.1 / 32.2
37.0 / 21.0
Assists
26.4 / 30.0
19.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.5 / 5.5
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 47.6
39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
83.9 / 77.6
82.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
47.8 / 48.0
50.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.8 / 8.9
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 12.8
18.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
TOR
CHA
TOR
ML
61%
60-39
55%
57-47
48%
40-44
55%
48-39
ATS
60%
59-40
61%
62-40-2
48%
40-44
55%
48-39
TTL
58%
57-42
60%
62-42
100%
84-0
100%
87-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up