CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
17-19 | Road
93
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
27-9 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
PISTONS
0%
BULLS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHI By 1-7 points
4.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
0.8%
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
116
CHICAGO
Detroit
132
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
105
CHICAGO
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-10)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o228.0
Loss
Proj Total: 248.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+124.9% more
Detroit: 11.3
vs
Chicago: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+82.9% more
Detroit: 8.9
vs
Chicago: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+35.8% more
Detroit: 17.0
vs
Chicago: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.0%
Detroit: 42.1%
vs
Chicago: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
116.0
93
DET Score
132.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 33.1
36.0 / 38.0
Assists
26.1 / 29.1
35.0 / 27.0
Blocks
8.9 / 4.8
8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 46.0
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.9 / 81.9
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 45.5
39.0 / 45.0
Steals
11.3 / 5.0
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
17.0 / 12.6
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHI
DET
CHI
ML
55%
64-53
56%
54-42
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
ATS
53%
60-54-3
65%
62-33-1
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
56-40
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
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