AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
KNICKS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
LAC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
9.3%
NY By 1-7 points
27.4%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
109
LA
New York
113
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u223.0
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
NY @ LAC
118 - 126
Jan 7, 2026
LAC @ NY
111 - 123
Mar 26, 2025
LAC @ NY
126 - 113
Mar 7, 2025
NY @ LAC
95 - 105
Dec 16, 2023
NY @ LAC
122 - 144
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
New York: 7.8
vs
LA: 6.7
Turnovers (L5)
+13.8% more
New York: 16.0
vs
LA: 14.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
New York: 38.7%
vs
LA: 36.7%
Blocks (L5)
+51.8% more
LA: 6.8
vs
New York: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
109.0
111
NY Score
113.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 36.7
42.0 / 36.0
Assists
23.0 / 24.2
31.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.3 / 6.8
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 48.5
50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
88.0 / 89.2
88.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 41.0
48.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.8 / 6.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 14.0
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
LAC
NY
LAC
ML
61%
114-72
60%
59-40
56%
57-45
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
124-62
66%
65-33-1
56%
57-45
55%
45-37
TTL
72%
133-53
59%
58-40-1
100%
102-0
100%
82-0