LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
4-11 | Road
84
ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
7-8 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
L-MD By 1-7 points
1.7%
L-MD By 8-14 points
6.8%
ARMY By 1-7 points
0.2%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
91
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Army
63
ARMY
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
68
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Army
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
ARMY @ L-MD
87 - 77
Jan 7, 2026
L-MD @ ARMY
84 - 76
Feb 12, 2025
ARMY @ L-MD
64 - 60
Jan 8, 2025
L-MD @ ARMY
72 - 74
Mar 2, 2024
ARMY @ L-MD
68 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.4% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.3
vs
Army: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
Loyola Maryland: 5.4
vs
Army: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Loyola Maryland: 12.7
vs
Army: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Loyola Maryland: 74.2%
vs
Army: 66.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
91.0
84
ARMY Score
63.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 34.8
32.0 / 32.0
Assists
17.6 / 13.9
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.7 / 3.3
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 41.7
39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 74.2
50.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 32.5
39.0 / 51.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.4
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 12.7
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
L-MD
ARMY
L-MD
ML
44%
14-18
53%
17-15
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
ATS
44%
14-18
56%
18-14
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
TTL
81%
26-6
44%
14-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
