HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
6-9 | Road
58
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
4-11 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
HC By 1-7 points
15.3%
HC By 8-14 points
5.8%
LEH By 1-7 points
26.2%
LEH By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
60
HOLY CROSS
Lehigh
67
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Lehigh
71
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
HC @ LEH
66 - 69
Feb 7, 2026
LEH @ HC
67 - 76
Jan 7, 2026
HC @ LEH
58 - 66
Feb 15, 2025
HC @ LEH
60 - 72
Feb 1, 2025
LEH @ HC
69 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+166.2% more
Lehigh: 3.7
vs
Holy Cross: 1.4
Turnovers (L5)
+54.2% more
Lehigh: 16.1
vs
Holy Cross: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+45.0% more
Lehigh: 7.6
vs
Holy Cross: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Lehigh: 13.6
vs
Holy Cross: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
60.0
58
LEH Score
67.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 23.9
40.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.5
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.4
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 39.9
49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 76.4
89.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 31.6
32.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.2
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 10.5
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
HC
LEH
HC
ML
56%
19-15
52%
16-15
68%
23-11
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
19-15
55%
17-14
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
TTL
76%
26-8
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
